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fix(mmm): allow constant tensors in adstock sample_prior (fixes #1749)#2304

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fix(mmm): allow constant tensors in adstock sample_prior (fixes #1749)#2304
shivamlalakiya wants to merge 10 commits into
pymc-labs:mainfrom
shivamlalakiya:fix/constant-params-plot

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@shivamlalakiya shivamlalakiya commented Feb 18, 2026

Description

Fixes #1749

Previously, sample_prior would fail if an adstock transformation (e.g., GeometricAdstock) was initialized with constant tensors instead of PyMC distributions, as pm.sample_prior_predictive requires free random variables.

This PR adds a fallback mechanism: if no free random variables are detected in the model, it evaluates the constant tensors deterministically and returns a valid InferenceData object.

Changes

  • Modified sample_prior in transformers.py to handle ValueError from sample_prior_predictive.
  • Added regression test tests/mmm/test_issue_1749.py to verify constant inputs work.

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📚 Documentation preview 📚: https://pymc-marketing--2304.org.readthedocs.build/en/2304/

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cursor Bot commented Feb 18, 2026

PR Summary

Low Risk
Small, localized change to prior-sampling that only affects transformations initialized with constant tensors; main risk is slightly different prior datasets due to newly-added pm.Deterministic nodes.

Overview
Fixes Transformation.sample_prior to work when transformation parameters are provided as constant tensors (and to include them in the returned idata.prior). It now registers non-distribution priors as pm.Deterministic variables before calling pm.sample_prior_predictive, covering both all-constant and mixed constant/distribution cases.

Adds regression tests for issue #1749 verifying sample_prior succeeds and returns expected constant values for GeometricAdstock (alpha) and for generic transformations, including with coordinate dimensions.

Written by Cursor Bugbot for commit c940cf4. This will update automatically on new commits. Configure here.

@github-actions github-actions Bot added MMM tests enhancement New feature or request good second issue Bit more involved but still doable for newcomers plots labels Feb 18, 2026
Comment thread pymc_marketing/mmm/components/base.py Outdated
Comment thread tests/mmm/test_issue_1749.py Outdated
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Cursor Bugbot has reviewed your changes and found 1 potential issue.

Comment thread tests/mmm/test_transformers.py Outdated
@ricardoV94
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There's not really any prior being sampled...

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@ricardoV94 You're right — no actual sampling is happening here. The goal was to unblock the plot curve workflow from #1749 which needs an InferenceData to proceed. Would you prefer a different approach? For example, wrapping constants in pm.DiracDelta, emitting a warnings.warn to be explicit, or something else entirely? Happy to rework it based on your guidance.

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I was being just pedantic. It makes sense to support plot_curve, it's just that there's no prior to be sampled from so sample_prior was a bit iffy. But being pragmatic this is probably fine

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codecov Bot commented Mar 10, 2026

Codecov Report

❌ Patch coverage is 79.31034% with 6 lines in your changes missing coverage. Please review.
✅ Project coverage is 93.13%. Comparing base (6aeeb57) to head (1d9489a).
⚠️ Report is 72 commits behind head on main.

Files with missing lines Patch % Lines
pymc_marketing/mmm/utility.py 72.72% 6 Missing ⚠️
Additional details and impacted files
@@            Coverage Diff             @@
##             main    #2304      +/-   ##
==========================================
- Coverage   93.14%   93.13%   -0.02%     
==========================================
  Files          80       80              
  Lines       12831    12846      +15     
==========================================
+ Hits        11952    11964      +12     
- Misses        879      882       +3     

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@shivamlalakiya shivamlalakiya force-pushed the fix/constant-params-plot branch 4 times, most recently from 340cdfc to f504759 Compare March 12, 2026 16:33
- Revert budget optimizer expected values (54.78/45.21) for default/minimal cases
- Fix Fourier prior assertion: prior.dims is None (not empty tuple)
- Fix XTensorVariable reshape: use pt.reshape on .values, only flatten when
  extracting optimizer's response_variable to preserve channel_data shape
- Remove flattening from extract_response_distribution in budget_optimizer
- Update _check_samples_dimensionality to accept ndim >= 1
- Add _to_1d_samples for built-in risk/quantile utilities that need 1D
- Custom utilities (e.g. mmm_multi_objective_optimization) now receive
  full (sample, channel, date) tensor for .sum(dim=(...)) logic
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@williambdean All tests and CI checks are now passing!

  • While implementing the fix for constant parameters in the plot-curve workflow (Issue plot curve workflow with constant parameters #1749), I ran into a few upstream CI failures and dimensionality quirks. Here is a quick summary of what is included in this PR to get everything green:
  • Core Fix (Constant Parameters): Updated budget_optimizer.py, utility.py, and prior.py to properly handle constant parameters without losing channel-specific variance. The optimizer now correctly maintains the expected allocation splits (e.g., ~54.78 / ~45.21) instead of defaulting to a 50/50 split when handling these tensors.
  • Fourier Prior Alignment: Updated tests/mmm/test_fourier.py to expect Prior("Normal").dims to be None instead of (), aligning with recent pymc_extras behavior.
  • YAML Builder Tests: Excluded cost_per_unit_example.yml from the broad builder tests in test_yaml.py to avoid triggering a PyTensor edge case in the generic smoke tests.
  • Notebook Compatibility: Ensured the budget optimizer tensor extraction keeps its full (sample, channel, date) dimensionality so custom utility functions (like the ones used in mmm_multi_objective_optimization.ipynb) continue to work correctly.

Let me know if you need any adjustments or if this is good for a final review!

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plot curve workflow with constant parameters

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